Sunday 30 September 2018, 16:00
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Full time
17%
32%
52%
Home win
17.0%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
51.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 17.0% | 5.90 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.5% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Genoa | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.2% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.8% | 5.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.7% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.3% | 8.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.8% | 25.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.3% | 3.09 | — | — |
| No | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone / Draw | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Frosinone / Genoa | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.8
|
19.2
|
12.3
|
5.1
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.8
|
12.4
|
7.3
|
3.0
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
2.8
|
3.5
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.