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Sunday 28 October 2018, 16:00 Stadio Paolo Mazza Full time
0–3
HT 0–1
61% 23% 16%
Home win
60.7%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
15.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Spal 60.7% 1.65
Draw 23.4% 4.27
Frosinone 15.8% 6.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.49
Over 1.5 75.6% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.4% 4.10
Over 2.5 50.4% 1.98
Under 2.5 49.6% 2.02
Over 3.5 28.4% 3.52
Under 3.5 71.6% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.6% 7.36
Under 4.5 86.4% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.5% 2.06
No 51.5% 1.94

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Spal / Draw 84.2% 1.19
Spal / Frosinone 76.6% 1.31
Draw / Frosinone 39.3% 2.55

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
5.1
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
11.9
11.2
4.4
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
11.6
9.8
4.1
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
7.2
6.0
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
3.3
2.8
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Spal goals. Columns: Frosinone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.