Sunday 21 October 2018, 13:30
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Full time
28%
33%
39%
Home win
28.3%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
39.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.6% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Empoli | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.0% | 6.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.5% | 7.41 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.9% | 20.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| No | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone / Draw | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Frosinone / Empoli | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Empoli | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.0
|
14.5
|
8.3
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
14.2
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
5.4
|
5.9
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.