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Friday 5 October 2018, 21:30 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
3–2
HT 1–0
79% 16% 5%
Home win
79.2%
Draw
15.6%
Away win
5.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 79.2% 1.26
Draw 15.6% 6.41
Frosinone 5.2% 19.15

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 14.85
Over 1.5 76.6% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.4% 4.27
Over 2.5 52.1% 1.92
Under 2.5 47.9% 2.09
Over 3.5 29.9% 3.35
Under 3.5 70.1% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.6% 6.85
Under 4.5 85.4% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.9% 3.04
No 67.1% 1.49

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 94.8% 1.06
Torino / Frosinone 84.4% 1.18
Draw / Frosinone 20.8% 4.80

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
14.2
7.0
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
16.9
7.6
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
13.0
5.8
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
7.5
3.4
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.5
1.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Frosinone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.