Saturday 8 April 2017, 17:00
The Hawthorns
Full time
45%
29%
26%
Home win
44.6%
Draw
28.9%
Away win
26.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom | 44.6% | 2.24 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Southampton | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.2% | 9.77 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.0% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.3% | 4.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.1% | 11.03 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom / Draw | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| West Brom / Southampton | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.2
|
8.6
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.2
|
13.6
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
8.8
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.0
|
4.0
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.4
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Oct 2020
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Feb 2018
West Brom
2-3
Southampton
Oct 2017
Southampton
1-0
West Brom
Dec 2016
Southampton
1-2
West Brom
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.