Wednesday 5 April 2017, 21:45
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
49%
27%
24%
Home win
49.0%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
24.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace | 24.4% | 4.09 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.9% | 12.59 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.5% | 3.92 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.6% | 7.91 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.4% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| No | 47.7% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Southampton / Crystal Palace | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Crystal Palace | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.9
|
6.9
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
12.7
|
6.3
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.0
|
9.4
|
4.9
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
5.0
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Southampton
1-1
Crystal Palace
Dec 2024
Crystal Palace
2-1
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
0-2
Crystal Palace
Oct 2022
Crystal Palace
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2022
Southampton
1-2
Crystal Palace
Dec 2021
Crystal Palace
2-2
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.