Sunday 19 March 2017, 16:15
White Hart Lane
Full time
72%
19%
9%
Home win
71.7%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
9.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.25 | — | — |
| Southampton | 9.3% | 10.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.1% | 6.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham / Draw | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Tottenham / Southampton | 81.0% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.6
|
9.0
|
2.7
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
14.1
|
9.1
|
2.9
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
10.1
|
6.5
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.4
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
Tottenham
3-1
Southampton
Dec 2024
Southampton
0-5
Tottenham
Mar 2023
Southampton
3-3
Tottenham
Aug 2022
Tottenham
4-1
Southampton
Feb 2022
Tottenham
2-3
Southampton
Dec 2021
Southampton
1-1
Tottenham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.