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Saturday 4 February 2017, 19:30 White Hart Lane Full time
71% 22% 8%
Home win
70.7%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
7.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham 70.7% 1.41
Draw 21.6% 4.62
Middlesbrough 7.6% 13.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.0% 1.12
Under 0.5 11.0% 9.08
Over 1.5 66.3% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.7% 2.97
Over 2.5 39.1% 2.56
Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64
Over 3.5 19.1% 5.23
Under 3.5 80.9% 1.24
Over 4.5 7.8% 12.77
Under 4.5 92.2% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 30.1% 3.32
No 69.9% 1.43

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Tottenham / Draw 92.4% 1.08
Tottenham / Middlesbrough 78.4% 1.28
Draw / Middlesbrough 29.3% 3.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.0
4.1
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
18.6
8.8
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
17.3
7.6
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
10.5
4.6
1.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
4.8
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Tottenham goals. Columns: Middlesbrough goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.