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Tuesday 31 January 2017, 21:45 Stadium of Light Full time
11% 20% 69%
Home win
10.6%
Draw
20.1%
Away win
69.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland 10.6% 9.46
Draw 20.1% 4.98
Tottenham 69.3% 1.44

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.2% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.8% 14.66
Over 1.5 76.9% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.1% 4.32
Over 2.5 52.3% 1.91
Under 2.5 47.7% 2.10
Over 3.5 30.1% 3.32
Under 3.5 69.9% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.7% 6.79
Under 4.5 85.3% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 44.0% 2.27
No 56.0% 1.79

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Sunderland / Draw 30.7% 3.26
Sunderland / Tottenham 79.9% 1.25
Draw / Tottenham 89.4% 1.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.8
12.5
13.6
9.4
4.9
2.0
1
3.8
9.5
9.3
6.5
3.4
1.4
2
1.5
3.1
3.2
2.2
1.2
0.5
3
0.3
0.7
0.7
0.5
0.3
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Sunderland goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.