Monday 2 January 2017, 17:00
Stadium of Light
Full time
14%
20%
66%
Home win
13.9%
Draw
19.6%
Away win
66.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 13.9% | 7.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.6% | 5.09 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.5% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.5% | 22.02 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.4% | 6.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland / Draw | 33.6% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Sunderland / Liverpool | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.5
|
8.6
|
10.3
|
7.8
|
4.4
|
2.0
|
| 1 |
3.3
|
9.2
|
9.8
|
7.4
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
| 2 |
1.8
|
4.1
|
4.7
|
3.5
|
2.0
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
0.6
|
1.3
|
1.5
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Sunderland
0-1
Liverpool
Dec 2025
Liverpool
1-1
Sunderland
Nov 2016
Liverpool
2-0
Sunderland
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.