Monday 19 December 2016, 22:00
Goodison Park
Full time
33%
24%
43%
Home win
32.7%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
42.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 32.7% | 3.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.09 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.7% | 21.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.4% | 6.09 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.1% | 4.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Everton / Liverpool | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.7
|
6.4
|
6.0
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
11.0
|
8.9
|
5.1
|
2.2
|
0.8
|
| 2 |
4.5
|
7.7
|
6.6
|
3.8
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
3.8
|
3.3
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Everton
1-2
Liverpool
Sep 2025
Liverpool
2-1
Everton
Apr 2025
Liverpool
1-0
Everton
Feb 2025
Everton
2-2
Liverpool
Apr 2024
Everton
2-0
Liverpool
Oct 2023
Liverpool
2-0
Everton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.