Sunday 27 November 2016, 18:30
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
41%
33%
26%
Home win
41.0%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
26.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 41.0% | 2.44 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Everton | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.8% | 3.24 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.3% | 7.52 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.8% | 20.93 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| No | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Southampton / Everton | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.1
|
11.1
|
5.0
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.1
|
14.0
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
7.4
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.3
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Everton
2-0
Southampton
Nov 2024
Southampton
1-0
Everton
Jan 2023
Everton
1-2
Southampton
Oct 2022
Southampton
1-2
Everton
Feb 2022
Southampton
2-0
Everton
Aug 2021
Everton
3-1
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.