Saturday 19 November 2016, 17:00
Goodison Park
Full time
58%
24%
18%
Home win
57.9%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
17.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Swansea | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.8% | 12.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.9% | 7.77 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Everton / Swansea | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.8
|
5.6
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
11.7
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
9.7
|
4.2
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
5.7
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.9
|
2.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.