Monday 18 December 2017, 22:00
Goodison Park
Full time
62%
23%
15%
Home win
62.1%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
15.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.7% | 4.41 | — | — |
| Swansea | 15.2% | 6.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.1% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.9% | 14.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.1% | 4.34 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.7% | 2.10 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.1% | 3.32 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.7% | 6.79 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Everton / Swansea | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.9
|
4.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
10.8
|
4.3
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.6
|
9.8
|
4.1
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
7.5
|
6.3
|
2.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.6
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.