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Saturday 6 May 2017, 19:30 Liberty Stadium Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
24% 24% 53%
Home win
23.6%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
52.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea 23.6% 4.25
Draw 23.6% 4.24
Everton 52.9% 1.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.9% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.1% 19.72
Over 1.5 82.3% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.7% 5.65
Over 2.5 60.1% 1.66
Under 2.5 39.9% 2.51
Over 3.5 37.8% 2.65
Under 3.5 62.2% 1.61
Over 4.5 20.4% 4.91
Under 4.5 79.6% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 60.3% 1.66
No 39.7% 2.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Swansea / Draw 47.1% 2.12
Swansea / Everton 76.4% 1.31
Draw / Everton 76.4% 1.31

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.1
7.9
8.0
5.1
2.4
0.9
1
4.8
10.9
9.7
6.2
2.9
1.1
2
3.3
6.2
5.9
3.7
1.8
0.7
3
1.3
2.5
2.4
1.5
0.7
0.3
4
0.4
0.8
0.7
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Swansea goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.