Sunday 30 April 2017, 16:05
Goodison Park
Full time
36%
27%
37%
Home win
36.3%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
37.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.3% | 4.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.3% | 6.52 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Everton / Chelsea | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
7.8
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.7
|
12.6
|
8.4
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
8.3
|
5.9
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
3.9
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.3
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Everton
3-0
Chelsea
Dec 2025
Chelsea
2-0
Everton
Apr 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Everton
Dec 2024
Everton
0-0
Chelsea
Apr 2024
Chelsea
6-0
Everton
Dec 2023
Everton
2-0
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.