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Sunday 9 April 2017, 18:00 Goodison Park Full time
4–2
HT 3–2
68% 19% 13%
Home win
67.9%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
12.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 67.9% 1.47
Draw 19.4% 5.16
Leicester 12.7% 7.87

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.1% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.9% 20.55
Over 1.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.5% 5.73
Over 2.5 60.6% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.4% 2.54
Over 3.5 38.3% 2.61
Under 3.5 61.7% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.8% 4.81
Under 4.5 79.2% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 87.3% 1.15
Everton / Leicester 80.6% 1.24
Draw / Leicester 32.1% 3.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.9
3.3
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
1
9.3
9.2
3.8
1.1
0.2
0.0
2
11.1
9.7
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.0
3
8.3
7.3
3.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
4
4.7
4.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
2.1
1.9
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Leicester goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.