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Saturday 11 March 2017, 17:00 Goodison Park Full time
3–0
HT 2–0
56% 25% 20%
Home win
55.5%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
19.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 55.5% 1.80
Draw 24.9% 4.02
West Brom 19.6% 5.11

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.5% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.5% 13.36
Over 1.5 75.6% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.4% 4.09
Over 2.5 50.3% 1.99
Under 2.5 49.7% 2.01
Over 3.5 28.3% 3.54
Under 3.5 71.7% 1.39
Over 4.5 13.5% 7.41
Under 4.5 86.5% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.1% 1.96
No 48.9% 2.04

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 80.4% 1.24
Everton / West Brom 75.1% 1.33
Draw / West Brom 44.5% 2.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.5
5.8
3.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
11.2
11.9
5.3
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.8
4.6
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
6.0
5.7
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.9
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: West Brom goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.