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Wednesday 1 February 2017, 22:00 bet365 Stadium Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
32% 28% 40%
Home win
31.7%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
40.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Stoke City 31.7% 3.15
Draw 28.2% 3.54
Everton 40.1% 2.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.42
Over 1.5 72.6% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.4% 3.65
Over 2.5 46.3% 2.16
Under 2.5 53.7% 1.86
Over 3.5 24.8% 4.03
Under 3.5 75.2% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.2% 8.90
Under 4.5 88.8% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.0% 1.92
No 48.0% 2.08

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Stoke City / Draw 59.9% 1.67
Stoke City / Everton 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Everton 68.3% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
10.0
7.3
3.3
1.1
0.3
1
8.6
13.5
8.6
3.9
1.3
0.4
2
5.5
7.5
5.0
2.3
0.8
0.2
3
2.2
2.9
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Stoke City goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.