Saturday 21 January 2017, 17:00
bet365 Stadium
Full time
29%
29%
43%
Home win
28.7%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
42.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.5% | 10.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.9% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.1% | 9.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City / Draw | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Stoke City / Manchester United | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.5
|
11.2
|
8.1
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
13.6
|
8.7
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
6.9
|
4.7
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.8
|
2.5
|
1.7
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2018
Manchester United
3-0
Stoke City
Sep 2017
Stoke City
2-2
Manchester United
Oct 2016
Manchester United
1-1
Stoke City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.