Saturday 31 December 2016, 17:00
Old Trafford
Full time
55%
29%
16%
Home win
54.9%
Draw
29.3%
Away win
15.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Middlesbrough | 15.7% | 6.36 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.5% | 6.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 31.8% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.9% | 7.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 86.1% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.1% | 19.67 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| No | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Middlesbrough | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Middlesbrough | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.5
|
7.7
|
2.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.3
|
12.2
|
3.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.0
|
7.9
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.