Sunday 4 December 2016, 18:00
Goodison Park
Full time
39%
30%
31%
Home win
38.8%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
30.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.3% | 3.30 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 30.9% | 3.24 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.7% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.9% | 5.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.7% | 13.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Everton / Manchester United | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 61.2% | 1.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
10.3
|
5.8
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.0
|
14.1
|
6.9
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.7
|
8.0
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
3.2
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Everton
0-1
Manchester United
Nov 2025
Manchester United
0-1
Everton
Feb 2025
Everton
2-2
Manchester United
Dec 2024
Manchester United
4-0
Everton
Mar 2024
Manchester United
2-0
Everton
Nov 2023
Everton
0-3
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.