Saturday 19 November 2016, 14:30
Old Trafford
Full time
32%
26%
42%
Home win
31.9%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
41.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 31.9% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.6% | 15.26 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.8% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.8% | 6.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Arsenal | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.6
|
8.2
|
6.8
|
3.5
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
12.4
|
9.0
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.0
|
7.7
|
5.9
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
3.4
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
1.1
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Arsenal
2-3
Manchester United
Aug 2025
Manchester United
0-1
Arsenal
Mar 2025
Manchester United
1-1
Arsenal
Dec 2024
Arsenal
2-0
Manchester United
May 2024
Manchester United
0-1
Arsenal
Sep 2023
Arsenal
3-1
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.