Saturday 29 October 2016, 14:30
Stadium of Light
Full time
17%
23%
60%
Home win
17.2%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
59.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 17.2% | 5.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Arsenal | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 15.03 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.4% | 6.50 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| No | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland / Draw | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Sunderland / Arsenal | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Arsenal | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
10.8
|
10.8
|
6.8
|
3.2
|
1.2
|
| 1 |
4.9
|
11.1
|
9.9
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
| 2 |
2.5
|
4.8
|
4.5
|
2.9
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.