Saturday 24 September 2016, 19:30
Emirates Stadium
Full time
50%
24%
26%
Home win
49.8%
Draw
23.7%
Away win
26.5%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.7% | 4.22 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.6% | 21.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 16.4% | 6.11 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 22.1% | 4.52 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| No | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal / Draw | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Arsenal / Chelsea | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.6
|
4.8
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
7.0
|
10.7
|
6.7
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
9.5
|
6.3
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
6.0
|
4.0
|
1.8
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
2.1
|
2.8
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.8
|
1.1
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Arsenal
2-1
Chelsea
Nov 2025
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
Mar 2025
Arsenal
1-0
Chelsea
Nov 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Arsenal
Apr 2024
Arsenal
5-0
Chelsea
Oct 2023
Chelsea
2-2
Arsenal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.