Friday 16 September 2016, 22:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
35%
21%
44%
Home win
34.7%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
44.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Draw | 20.9% | 4.77 | — | — |
| Liverpool | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.0% | 50.63 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 7.7% | 13.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 21.6% | 4.62 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 40.1% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| No | 23.3% | 4.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Liverpool | 79.1% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Draw / Liverpool | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.0
|
3.1
|
3.8
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
2.7
|
7.2
|
7.4
|
5.5
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
6.6
|
7.2
|
5.3
|
2.9
|
1.3
|
| 3 |
1.9
|
4.3
|
4.7
|
3.5
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
2.1
|
2.3
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.8
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Liverpool
1-1
Chelsea
Oct 2025
Chelsea
2-1
Liverpool
May 2025
Chelsea
3-1
Liverpool
Oct 2024
Liverpool
2-1
Chelsea
Jan 2024
Liverpool
4-1
Chelsea
Aug 2023
Chelsea
1-1
Liverpool
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.