Sunday 11 September 2016, 18:00
Liberty Stadium
Full time
15%
19%
66%
Home win
15.3%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
65.8%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 15.3% | 6.55 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.5% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.5% | 28.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.67 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.6% | 3.63 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| No | 38.8% | 2.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea / Draw | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Swansea / Chelsea | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.5
|
6.7
|
8.7
|
7.0
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
| 1 |
2.8
|
8.4
|
9.6
|
7.7
|
4.6
|
2.2
|
| 2 |
1.8
|
4.4
|
5.3
|
4.2
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
| 3 |
0.7
|
1.6
|
1.9
|
1.5
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.