Saturday 25 February 2017, 17:00
Stamford Bridge
Full time
86%
10%
4%
Home win
85.8%
Draw
10.0%
Away win
4.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Draw | 10.0% | 9.97 | — | — |
| Swansea | 4.2% | 23.88 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.6% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.4% | 41.27 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.2% | 9.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.3% | 3.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Swansea | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Draw / Swansea | 14.2% | 7.04 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.4
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.6
|
4.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
7.1
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.7
|
7.5
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.3
|
6.0
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
5.9
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.