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Sunday 22 January 2017, 18:30 Stamford Bridge Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
89% 8% 3%
Home win
89.3%
Draw
8.0%
Away win
2.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea 89.3% 1.12
Draw 8.0% 12.44
Hull City 2.7% 37.17

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 0.5 2.3% 43.88
Over 1.5 90.1% 1.11
Under 1.5 9.9% 10.15
Over 2.5 74.4% 1.34
Under 2.5 25.6% 3.91
Over 3.5 54.3% 1.84
Under 3.5 45.7% 2.19
Over 4.5 34.8% 2.88
Under 4.5 65.2% 1.53

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.5% 2.53
No 60.5% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Chelsea / Draw 97.3% 1.03
Chelsea / Hull City 92.0% 1.09
Draw / Hull City 10.7% 9.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.3
0.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
6.7
3.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
11.6
6.1
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
13.0
6.8
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
11.0
5.7
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
5
7.4
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Chelsea goals. Columns: Hull City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.