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Monday 26 December 2016, 19:15 KCOM Stadium Full time
Hull City
0–3
HT 0–0
Manchester City
15% 19% 66%
Home win
14.9%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
65.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City 14.9% 6.70 — —
Draw 19.4% 5.14 — —
Manchester City 65.6% 1.52 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04 — —
Under 0.5 4.0% 25.18 — —
Over 1.5 85.4% 1.17 — —
Under 1.5 14.6% 6.83 — —
Over 2.5 65.3% 1.53 — —
Under 2.5 34.7% 2.88 — —
Over 3.5 43.3% 2.31 — —
Under 3.5 56.7% 1.76 — —
Over 4.5 24.9% 4.02 — —
Under 4.5 75.1% 1.33 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.7% 1.70 — —
No 41.3% 2.42 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hull City / Draw 34.4% 2.91 — —
Hull City / Manchester City 80.6% 1.24 — —
Draw / Manchester City 85.1% 1.18 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
7.6
9.4
7.3
4.2
2.0
1
3.1
8.9
9.7
7.5
4.4
2.0
2
1.9
4.3
5.0
3.9
2.3
1.1
3
0.6
1.5
1.7
1.3
0.8
0.4
4
0.2
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hull City goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Hull City
D L D L L
Manchester City
W L L W W

Head to head

Apr 2017 Manchester City 3-1 Hull City

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.