Saturday 3 December 2016, 14:30
Etihad Stadium
Full time
40%
25%
35%
Home win
39.8%
Draw
25.4%
Away win
34.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 39.8% | 2.51 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.5% | 18.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.3% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.7% | 5.35 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.1% | 5.24 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| No | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Chelsea | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 60.2% | 1.66 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.5
|
6.3
|
5.1
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.9
|
11.7
|
8.1
|
3.9
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.0
|
8.7
|
6.4
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
4.6
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.2
|
1.8
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Chelsea
0-3
Manchester City
Jan 2026
Manchester City
1-1
Chelsea
Jan 2025
Manchester City
3-1
Chelsea
Aug 2024
Chelsea
0-2
Manchester City
Feb 2024
Manchester City
1-1
Chelsea
Nov 2023
Chelsea
4-4
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.