Sunday 23 October 2016, 15:30
Etihad Stadium
Full time
59%
24%
17%
Home win
58.7%
Draw
23.9%
Away win
17.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Southampton | 17.3% | 5.78 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.68 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.1% | 4.15 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.8% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.8% | 7.23 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City / Draw | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Manchester City / Southampton | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
5.3
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.5
|
11.4
|
4.8
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
11.0
|
9.8
|
4.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.7
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.1
|
2.7
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Southampton
0-0
Manchester City
Oct 2024
Manchester City
1-0
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
1-4
Manchester City
Oct 2022
Manchester City
4-0
Southampton
Jan 2022
Southampton
1-1
Manchester City
Sep 2021
Manchester City
0-0
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.