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Sunday 25 September 2016, 18:00 London Stadium Full time
West Ham
0–3
HT 0–1
Southampton
36% 27% 37%
Home win
36.0%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
36.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 36.0% 2.77 — —
Draw 27.1% 3.69 — —
Southampton 36.9% 2.71 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08 — —
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.80 — —
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31 — —
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.24 — —
Over 2.5 51.4% 1.95 — —
Under 2.5 48.6% 2.06 — —
Over 3.5 29.3% 3.42 — —
Under 3.5 70.7% 1.41 — —
Over 4.5 14.2% 7.06 — —
Under 4.5 85.8% 1.17 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.2% 1.78 — —
No 43.8% 2.28 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 63.1% 1.58 — —
West Ham / Southampton 72.9% 1.37 — —
Draw / Southampton 64.0% 1.56 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
8.2
6.2
2.8
1.0
0.3
1
8.1
12.9
8.3
3.8
1.3
0.4
2
6.0
8.2
5.7
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
2.7
3.7
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
0.9
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Southampton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

West Ham
L W L L L
Southampton
D L D L W

Head to head

Apr 2025 West Ham 1-1 Southampton Dec 2024 Southampton 0-1 West Ham Apr 2023 West Ham 1-0 Southampton Oct 2022 Southampton 1-1 West Ham Dec 2021 West Ham 2-3 Southampton Sep 2021 Southampton 0-0 West Ham

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.