Saturday 27 August 2016, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
7%
85%
8%
Home win
6.6%
Draw
85.1%
Away win
8.3%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 6.6% | 15.25 | — | — |
| Draw | 85.1% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Sunderland | 8.3% | 12.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 15.5% | 6.46 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 84.5% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 1.3% | 76.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 98.7% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 0.1% | 1,428.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 99.9% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.0% | 33,333.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | — | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0.7% | 146.84 | — | — |
| No | 99.3% | 1.01 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Southampton / Sunderland | 14.9% | 6.73 | — | — |
| Draw / Sunderland | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
84.5
|
7.9
|
0.4
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.3
|
0.6
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.