Friday 19 August 2016, 22:00
Old Trafford
Full time
24%
64%
11%
Home win
24.3%
Draw
64.5%
Away win
11.2%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 24.3% | 4.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Southampton | 11.2% | 8.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 9.2% | 10.81 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.4% | 69.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 98.6% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 0.2% | 568.18 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 99.8% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 0.0% | 5,882.35 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 100.0% | 1.00 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4.6% | 21.79 | — | — |
| No | 95.4% | 1.05 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United / Draw | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Manchester United / Southampton | 35.5% | 2.81 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
60.8
|
10.0
|
0.9
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
19.9
|
3.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
0.6
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Manchester United
3-1
Southampton
Sep 2024
Southampton
0-3
Manchester United
Mar 2023
Manchester United
0-0
Southampton
Aug 2022
Southampton
0-1
Manchester United
Feb 2022
Manchester United
1-1
Southampton
Aug 2021
Southampton
1-1
Manchester United
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.