Saturday 11 February 2017, 17:00
Stadium of Light
Full time
38%
30%
31%
Home win
38.2%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
31.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Southampton | 31.4% | 3.18 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.6% | 8.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.6% | 5.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.6% | 13.21 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.8% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland / Draw | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Sunderland / Southampton | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.6
|
10.5
|
5.9
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
14.1
|
7.0
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.5
|
7.9
|
4.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
3.1
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.