Saturday 4 February 2017, 17:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Full time
46%
28%
26%
Home win
45.9%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
25.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| West Ham | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.5% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.5% | 10.52 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 29.3% | 3.41 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 22.9% | 4.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.0% | 9.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton / Draw | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Southampton / West Ham | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / West Ham | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.5
|
8.1
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
13.4
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.9
|
9.0
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
4.3
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.5
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2025
West Ham
1-1
Southampton
Dec 2024
Southampton
0-1
West Ham
Apr 2023
West Ham
1-0
Southampton
Oct 2022
Southampton
1-1
West Ham
Dec 2021
West Ham
2-3
Southampton
Sep 2021
Southampton
0-0
West Ham
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.