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Wednesday 1 February 2017, 21:45 London Stadium Full time
30% 24% 45%
Home win
30.4%
Draw
24.1%
Away win
45.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham 30.4% 3.29
Draw 24.1% 4.15
Manchester City 45.5% 2.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.5% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.5% 22.05
Over 1.5 84.0% 1.19
Under 1.5 16.0% 6.24
Over 2.5 62.8% 1.59
Under 2.5 37.2% 2.69
Over 3.5 40.6% 2.46
Under 3.5 59.4% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.6% 4.42
Under 4.5 77.4% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 64.3% 1.56
No 35.7% 2.80

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
West Ham / Draw 54.5% 1.83
West Ham / Manchester City 75.9% 1.32
Draw / Manchester City 69.6% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.5
6.4
6.3
3.8
1.7
0.6
1
5.0
10.8
9.1
5.5
2.5
0.9
2
4.1
7.3
6.6
3.9
1.8
0.6
3
2.0
3.5
3.2
1.9
0.9
0.3
4
0.7
1.3
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: West Ham goals. Columns: Manchester City goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.