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Saturday 21 January 2017, 19:30 Etihad Stadium Full time
30% 27% 43%
Home win
30.2%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
42.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City 30.2% 3.31
Draw 27.0% 3.71
Tottenham 42.8% 2.34

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.6% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.4% 13.49
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.16
Over 2.5 50.8% 1.97
Under 2.5 49.2% 2.03
Over 3.5 28.7% 3.48
Under 3.5 71.3% 1.40
Over 4.5 13.8% 7.25
Under 4.5 86.2% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.2% 1.81
No 44.8% 2.23

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester City / Draw 57.2% 1.75
Manchester City / Tottenham 73.0% 1.37
Draw / Tottenham 69.8% 1.43

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.4
9.2
7.4
3.7
1.4
0.4
1
7.4
12.8
9.0
4.5
1.7
0.5
2
4.9
7.4
5.5
2.7
1.0
0.3
3
2.0
3.0
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
4
0.6
0.9
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester City goals. Columns: Tottenham goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.