Sunday 15 January 2017, 15:30
Goodison Park
Full time
36%
27%
37%
Home win
35.7%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
37.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Manchester City | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.4% | 4.27 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.4% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.5% | 3.40 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.3% | 7.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| No | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Everton / Manchester City | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester City | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
8.2
|
6.2
|
2.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
12.8
|
8.4
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.9
|
8.2
|
5.7
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.7
|
3.7
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
1.2
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Everton
3-3
Manchester City
Oct 2025
Manchester City
2-0
Everton
Apr 2025
Everton
0-2
Manchester City
Dec 2024
Manchester City
1-1
Everton
Feb 2024
Manchester City
2-0
Everton
Dec 2023
Everton
1-3
Manchester City
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.