Monday 2 January 2017, 17:00
Goodison Park
Full time
47%
30%
23%
Home win
47.1%
Draw
30.2%
Away win
22.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Southampton | 22.6% | 4.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.9% | 7.76 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 35.3% | 2.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 16.3% | 6.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.7% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.3% | 15.82 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.7% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.2% | 2.43 | — | — |
| No | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton / Draw | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Everton / Southampton | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.9
|
9.1
|
4.0
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.9
|
13.6
|
5.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
8.3
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
3.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2025
Everton
2-0
Southampton
Nov 2024
Southampton
1-0
Everton
Jan 2023
Everton
1-2
Southampton
Oct 2022
Southampton
1-2
Everton
Feb 2022
Southampton
2-0
Everton
Aug 2021
Everton
3-1
Southampton
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.