Sunday 18 December 2016, 15:30
Vitality Stadium
Full time
43%
32%
25%
Home win
43.0%
Draw
31.7%
Away win
25.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 43.0% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.7% | 3.16 | — | — |
| Southampton | 25.3% | 3.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.1% | 7.10 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.6% | 6.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.4% | 18.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
| No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth / Draw | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Bournemouth / Southampton | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Draw / Southampton | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.1
|
10.4
|
4.7
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.9
|
13.9
|
5.5
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
7.8
|
3.2
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.6
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Southampton
1-3
Bournemouth
Sep 2024
Bournemouth
3-1
Southampton
Apr 2023
Southampton
0-1
Bournemouth
Oct 2022
Bournemouth
0-1
Southampton
Jul 2020
Bournemouth
0-2
Southampton
Sep 2019
Southampton
1-3
Bournemouth
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.