Saturday 10 December 2016, 17:00
Turf Moor
Full time
32%
29%
39%
Home win
32.2%
Draw
28.7%
Away win
39.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 32.2% | 3.10 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Bournemouth | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.8% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.2% | 10.82 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.6% | 3.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.5% | 9.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley / Draw | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Burnley / Bournemouth | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Bournemouth | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.2
|
10.3
|
7.2
|
3.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
13.6
|
8.4
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.7
|
7.5
|
4.9
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.2
|
2.9
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Burnley
0-0
Bournemouth
Dec 2025
Bournemouth
1-1
Burnley
Mar 2024
Burnley
0-2
Bournemouth
Oct 2023
Bournemouth
2-1
Burnley
Feb 2020
Burnley
3-0
Bournemouth
Dec 2019
Bournemouth
0-1
Burnley
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.