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Saturday 5 November 2016, 17:00 Vitality Stadium Full time
60% 23% 16%
Home win
60.1%
Draw
23.4%
Away win
16.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth 60.1% 1.66
Draw 23.4% 4.27
Sunderland 16.4% 6.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.04
Over 1.5 76.4% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.6% 4.24
Over 2.5 51.5% 1.94
Under 2.5 48.5% 2.06
Over 3.5 29.4% 3.41
Under 3.5 70.6% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.2% 7.02
Under 4.5 85.8% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.8% 2.01
No 50.2% 1.99

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth / Draw 83.6% 1.20
Bournemouth / Sunderland 76.6% 1.31
Draw / Sunderland 39.9% 2.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
5.0
2.5
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
11.5
11.2
4.6
1.3
0.3
0.1
2
11.3
9.8
4.3
1.2
0.3
0.0
3
7.0
6.1
2.7
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
3.3
2.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.2
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bournemouth goals. Columns: Sunderland goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.