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Saturday 24 September 2016, 17:00 Vitality Stadium Full time
Bournemouth
1–0
HT 1–0
Everton
17% 25% 58%
Home win
16.6%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
58.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth 16.6% 6.02 — —
Draw 25.2% 3.97 — —
Everton 58.2% 1.72 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.0% 1.10 — —
Under 0.5 9.0% 11.12 — —
Over 1.5 71.7% 1.40 — —
Under 1.5 28.3% 3.53 — —
Over 2.5 45.3% 2.21 — —
Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Over 3.5 23.9% 4.18 — —
Under 3.5 76.1% 1.31 — —
Over 4.5 10.7% 9.35 — —
Under 4.5 89.3% 1.12 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.3% 2.21 — —
No 54.7% 1.83 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bournemouth / Draw 41.8% 2.39 — —
Bournemouth / Everton 74.8% 1.34 — —
Draw / Everton 83.4% 1.20 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.0
13.4
11.9
6.7
2.9
1.0
1
5.9
11.8
9.5
5.3
2.3
0.8
2
2.6
4.4
3.7
2.1
0.9
0.3
3
0.7
1.2
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bournemouth goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Bournemouth
L L D W L
Everton
D W W W W

Head to head

Feb 2026 Everton 1-2 Bournemouth Dec 2025 Bournemouth 0-1 Everton Jan 2025 Bournemouth 1-0 Everton Aug 2024 Everton 2-3 Bournemouth Mar 2024 Bournemouth 2-1 Everton Oct 2023 Everton 3-0 Bournemouth

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.