Monday 12 September 2016, 22:00
Stadium of Light
Full time
23%
24%
53%
Home win
22.9%
Draw
24.0%
Away win
53.0%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | 22.9% | 4.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.0% | 4.16 | — | — |
| Everton | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.6% | 17.71 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.4% | 5.16 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.4% | 5.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| No | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland / Draw | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Sunderland / Everton | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Draw / Everton | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.6
|
8.6
|
8.5
|
5.2
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
5.1
|
11.3
|
9.8
|
6.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
6.1
|
5.6
|
3.5
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.3
|
2.3
|
2.2
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.