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Saturday 25 February 2017, 17:00 Goodison Park Full time
2–0
HT 1–0
70% 19% 11%
Home win
70.1%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
10.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton 70.1% 1.43
Draw 19.1% 5.24
Sunderland 10.8% 9.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.4% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.6% 17.83
Over 1.5 80.3% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.7% 5.07
Over 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.8% 2.34
Over 3.5 34.8% 2.88
Under 3.5 65.2% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.1% 5.53
Under 4.5 81.9% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 47.9% 2.09
No 52.1% 1.92

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Everton / Draw 89.2% 1.12
Everton / Sunderland 80.9% 1.24
Draw / Sunderland 29.9% 3.34

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.6
3.4
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
10.8
9.1
3.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
2
12.5
9.5
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
9.3
7.0
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
4
5.1
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
2.3
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Everton goals. Columns: Sunderland goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.