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Saturday 11 February 2017, 17:00 Riverside Full time
26% 32% 42%
Home win
25.8%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
41.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough 25.8% 3.87
Draw 32.2% 3.10
Everton 41.9% 2.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.3% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.7% 6.78
Over 1.5 59.4% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.6% 2.46
Over 2.5 31.5% 3.17
Under 2.5 68.5% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.7% 7.28
Under 3.5 86.3% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.0% 20.02
Under 4.5 95.0% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.2% 2.55
No 60.8% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Middlesbrough / Draw 58.1% 1.72
Middlesbrough / Everton 67.8% 1.48
Draw / Everton 74.2% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.7
15.1
9.0
3.4
1.0
0.2
1
10.8
14.0
7.5
2.9
0.8
0.2
2
4.8
5.5
3.1
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
1.3
1.5
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Middlesbrough goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.