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Saturday 21 January 2017, 17:00 Selhurst Park Full time
31% 25% 44%
Home win
30.6%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
44.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace 30.6% 3.27
Draw 25.2% 3.97
Everton 44.2% 2.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.5% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.5% 18.20
Over 1.5 81.2% 1.23
Under 1.5 18.8% 5.31
Over 2.5 58.3% 1.71
Under 2.5 41.7% 2.40
Over 3.5 35.9% 2.78
Under 3.5 64.1% 1.56
Over 4.5 19.0% 5.27
Under 4.5 81.0% 1.23

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.0% 1.64
No 39.0% 2.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Crystal Palace / Draw 55.8% 1.79
Crystal Palace / Everton 74.8% 1.34
Draw / Everton 69.4% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.5
7.4
6.8
3.8
1.6
0.5
1
5.9
11.6
9.2
5.1
2.1
0.7
2
4.5
7.5
6.2
3.5
1.4
0.5
3
2.0
3.4
2.8
1.6
0.7
0.2
4
0.7
1.1
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.1
5
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.1
0.0
Rows: Crystal Palace goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.