Saturday 17 December 2016, 14:30
Selhurst Park
Full time
17%
19%
63%
Home win
17.4%
Draw
19.4%
Away win
63.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 17.4% | 5.76 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.4% | 5.14 | — | — |
| Chelsea | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 31.36 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.0% | 8.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| No | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace / Draw | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
| Crystal Palace / Chelsea | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Chelsea | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
6.0
|
7.8
|
6.2
|
3.7
|
1.8
|
| 1 |
2.8
|
8.3
|
9.4
|
7.5
|
4.5
|
2.2
|
| 2 |
2.0
|
4.8
|
5.7
|
4.6
|
2.7
|
1.3
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.9
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Crystal Palace
1-3
Chelsea
Aug 2025
Chelsea
0-0
Crystal Palace
Jan 2025
Crystal Palace
1-1
Chelsea
Sep 2024
Chelsea
1-1
Crystal Palace
Feb 2024
Crystal Palace
1-3
Chelsea
Dec 2023
Chelsea
2-1
Crystal Palace
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.